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Staring into the abyss as a core life skill
Decisions improve when you face uncomfortable possibilities early instead of protecting yourself from them with optimistic stories.
Decisions improve when you face uncomfortable possibilities early instead of protecting yourself from them with optimistic stories.
When important outcomes have heavy-tailed distributions, searching for exceptional possibilities beats optimizing a single merely acceptable choice.
The world rewards important problems more than difficult-looking ones, and smart people often mistake difficulty for leverage.